RMC Pages

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Timothy L. Lincecum

Of all the Giants starters, The Freak may be the hardest to predict what 2011 will bring.
This last year was far from a failure for Timmeh, as his stellar postseason will attest,
but some undeniable chinks in the armor did show up. The projection pundits are kind to 
Tim, as you can see: 
ZiPS says:       213.3 IP, 172 H,  66 ER,  14 HR  71 BB, 246 K, 150 ERA+

Those are quite nice; not as good as the Cy Young years, but better than "ohten."  Seems 
rather crudely mathematical. My prediction is based on more of a projected career path, 
if you will. Without using the link, anyone recognize where I got my Tim projection?
 
W    L  ERA HR BB  SO ERA+  WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB       Awards
25   5 1.88 18 58 306  159 0.875 6.2  0.5  1.7  8.9  5.28      ASCYA-1MVP-1

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/16/2011.
Here's some of Tim's numbers.  Use them (or not) to make your Tim prediction.

Year             W  L  ERA   G    IP   H  ER HR  BB  SO ERA+  WHIP BB/9 SO/9

2007             7  5 4.00  24 146.1 122  65 12  65 150  112 1.278  4.0  9.2
2008            18  5 2.62  34 227.0 182  66 11  84 265  169 1.172  3.3 10.5
2009            15  7 2.48  32 225.1 168  62 10  68 261  173 1.047  2.7 10.4
2010            16 10 3.43  33 212.1 194  81 18  76 231  119 1.272  3.2  9.8
4 Seasons       56 27 3.04 123 811.0 666 274 51 293 907  142 1.182  3.3 10.1
162 Game Avg.   16  7 3.04  34   225 185  76 14  81 252  142 1.182  3.3 10.1
 
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original TableGenerated 1/15/2011.

3 comments:

  1. Izzat Sandy Fecking Koufax yer comping wi' Timmeh?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hope you don't mind--I did some editing on your post to clean up the spaces. The blogger text editor is not the greatest. I have to use the damn "preview" feature A LOT and then I have to edit again after posting.

    I'll take the ZiPS Tim. Bill James says 2.79 FIP and 10.13 K/9. I'll take it. Health is the key. A healthy Timmy is a studly Timmy.

    ReplyDelete