Friday, May 3, 2019

WOW!

SF 12  CIN 11 (11)
You saw that one coming, eh? The Giants fell behind 8-0 after three innings but battled back to win 12-11 in extra innings. Crazy! The Reds have a really bad offense, much like the Giants, but they clobbered poor Tyler Beede who was just called up from AAA. The Reds, like the Giants, have a strong pitching staff. Not that the Giants noticed as they scored in the 4th, 6th, 8th, 9th and 11th innings, pounding out 17 hits including two doubles and three homers. FNG Stephen Vogt, now the backup catcher in place of Erik Kratz, had three hits and three runs scored. His homer in the 9th kept the Giants alive. Vogt was recovering from surgery and the Giants had him stashed in the minors until they could activate him. Looks like a good move.

In another roster move the Giants finally gave up on Gerardo Parra. His nifty glove work could not make up for a .198/.278/.267 slash line. Mike Gerber got the start in LF tonight and had a hit and a walk. He was claimed off waivers in December and was posted to Sacramento after spring training where he hit .357/.402/.655 in 21 games.

Same two teams tomorrow at 4:10 PDT, D-Rod v. Tanner Roark.

GO GIANTS!

--M.C.

 

p.s. this is the win probability chart from FanGraphs:



1 comment:

M.C. O'Connor said...

Grant Brisbee, founder of McCovey Chronicles (one of the blogs that inspired me to create RMC), now writes for The Athletic. Here's a bit from his piece about the game:

Look, it’s not hyperbolic to suggest it was one of the best games in franchise history, just because of how unlikely it was. This is the kind of comeback you’ll reference in 20 years to establish your Giants nerd cred. And you’ll have earned it. According to FanGraphs, the Reds were 99.1 percent favorites to win the game after going up 8-0, but you know that number is hokum. That number is assuming an average team that can score runs at an average clip. Sure, that kind of team can win nine times out of every 1,000 games in which it’s down 8-0 in the third.

Except the Giants aren’t that team. They had a zero percent chance of winning, according to YouGraphs. And MeGraphs. LiterallyEveryoneWatchingGraphs had it at zero, too. The 2019 Giants didn’t score their 12th run of this season until their sixth game. The odds are against them scoring 12 runs in a series, considering they’ve done it in just half of their series this year. Expecting them to score exactly 12 when the other team scores 11 is some serious turn-off-your-targeting-computer-and-try-to-blow-up-the-Death-Star kind of nonsense.