Webb, WBC

I want to like the World Baseball Classic. The game, unfortunately, isn't really built for tournament play. Rather, it's a long-haul attritional battle. But the "one-and-done" nature of knockout contests certainly adds excitement. I don't have a dog in the fight. I don't really care about Team USA one way or the other. (The jingoistic coverage and "team of destiny" nonsense doesn't help.) I really like the international flavor of the event and like to see baseball from (weird?) places like Czechia and Israel.

But Team USA features Logan Webb. And Logan Webb is awesome so it was fun to watch the game last night. Brazil, despite being a large country, is a baseball minnow. The result was a sloppy 15-5 win for Team USA. Brazil pitchers walked 17 batters and hit two more! Team USA didn't have to do much as Team Brazil had a hard time throwing strikes and turned mini-rallies into routs.

The interesting thing about Team Brazil is its MLB connections. Their first batter was RF Lucas Ramirez, the son of Manny Ramirez. He hit a homer off Webb! That was quite a moment. Webb retired the next 12 batters on four grounders, six strikeouts, and two fly outs. Dante Bichette, Jr., son of Dante and brother to Bo, is Team Brazil's DH. And Jose Contreras' son Joseph, all of 17 and still in HS, is a pitcher. He got Aaron Judge (who homered in the 1st) to ground into a bases-loaded double play! Imagine being 17 and pitching in a game like that. I should mention that young Ramirez hit another homer in the game, that one off Gabe Speier (nephew of Chris).

So even though it was a mismatch and got rather ugly at the end it's clear there is a future for baseball in Brazil. The above-mentioned ballplayers have Brazilian wives, that's how their kids wound up on the team. Team Brazil also featured a Japanese manager and players of Japanese ancestry so it seems there is more than one big-time baseball nation involved in the program.

I hope the WBC continues to evolve and we see better baseball all over the world because of it. Unfortunately it seemed like a desultory crowd at the ballpark in Houston and there were plenty of empty seats, especially behind home plate. I'm sure Fox will fill them with the appropriate celebrities for the next match.

Finally, do we fully appreciate Logan Webb? He emerged in 2021 as a stud starter and made a name for himself that October with two superb games against the Dodgers in the playoffs. Since then he's made 132 starts and gone 54-43 for a .500 club, posting ERAs under 3.50 and FIPs under 3.20, all while leading MLB in innings pitched. The guy gets a lot of credit for being a "workhorse" which is true, but it obscures the fact that he's an "ace" as well! Logan Webb is about as close to a plug-and-play pitcher as there is in baseball. Mr. Automatic. The Giants have him signed for two more seasons after this one. He's at his peak—let's build a winner behind him.

Webb is supposed to pitch one more time. I imagine that would be the first game of the knockout round (assuming Team USA wins their group). That's Friday the 13th in Houston. It's on Fox and the only nice thing about Fox is we can get it off-the-air for free. (That's how we watch most of our baseball. I hate paying for TV.)

Anyway, it's still Spring Training. Go Giants!

--M.C.

26 for '26

There aren't any notable position battles for the 2026 San Francisco Giants Opening Day 26-man roster. The infield is set. Rafael Devers will man first base and Luis Arráez will handle second base. Willy Adames will be the shortstop and Matt Chapman gets the hot corner.

The outfield looks like Heliot Ramos, Harrison Bader, and Jung Hoo Lee going left-to-right.

 Patrick Bailey will be the catcher. Bryce Eldridge has the inside track on DH.

On the pitching side Logan Webb is the number one and Robbie Ray is the number two. The rest of the starting rotation will be Landen Roupp, Tyler Mahle, and Adrian Houser.

The bullpen has some possible openings. Two guys are signed: JT Brubaker and Sam Hentges. Ryan Walker and Erik Miller will be returning. Then there's José Buttó and Matt Gage who are out of options. Add in Joel Peguero and Spencer Bivens and that's eight guys. So right now Hayden Birdsong, Carson Whisenhunt, Carson Seymour, Blade Tidwell, Keaton Winn, Tristan Beck, Trevor McDonald, etc., etc. are all on the outside looking in. We won't know the final configuration for a few weeks, of course. I see that Birdsong is getting the first start of the Spring tomorrow.

There are some spots on the bench. Daniel Susac (brother of Andrew) seems to be the favorite for backup backstop. The fourth outfielder could be Drew Gilbert or Luis Matos or Will Brennan or Grant McCray, or  . . . ? Casey Schmitt could be the utility infielder and adding Jerar Encarnación to the list makes 26. Maybe we have a different catcher or it's Tyler Fitzgerald and/or Christian Koss somewhere.

Like I said there aren't really any interesting position battles. The bullpen is the most unsettled but there seems to be sufficient depth. They will leave some good arms in AAA and that should help when guys get hurt.

The 2026 Giants are largely set.

Whaddya think? Is it enough?

--M.C. 

WTF

The Giants are supposedly bringing in Luis Arráez to play second base. I used to say I would "take anyone on a one or two year deal" but this is a real head-scratcher.

Arráez never strikes out and sprays the ball all over the field. The lefty has won the batting title three times and has a career .317 batting average, best in the sport. He led the NL in hits last season. He's 28 and has over a thousand career hits.

But he's a terrible fielder and doesn't hit for power. What do you do with a guy like that?

I don't want to knock Arráez who really is quite incredible at what he does. It's just that the Giants needed CJ Abrams or Nico Hoerner or Brendan Donovan and we settled for Arráez. It could work, of course. He could get on base at a nice clip and complement the rest of the slugging infield. And maybe Schmitt will thrive in a utility role and we can keep the guys fresh.

Ah well, it's BusterTime™ and in Buster we Truster! 

--M.C.

OF bump

The Giants have agreed to a two-year deal ($21M) with 32-year old free agent centerfielder Harrison Bader. That's going to bump Jung Hoo Lee over to right, I expect. Giants outfield defense, with the exception of the always-smooth Mike Yastrzemksi, was atrocious in 2025.

Bader is a mostly average hitter (RH) with a few years like last season (.277/.347/.449) sprinkled in. His calling card is his glove and he's been outstanding since his debut in 2017. He's suited up for six teams (Cardinals, Yankees, Reds, Mets, Twins, Phillies) and has also logged 76 PA in the post-season (in ten series).

If you think he's a 2-WAR player this is a good deal. Projections of his hitting aren't pretty but he's good for 15 homers and 20 doubles and a dozen stolen bases so he's not useless. It's really all about how you value his fielding. With a spacious outfield and some fly-ball pitchers like Robbie Ray the Giants could certainly benefit from better defense.

The team is still $20M or so under the luxury tax line.

--M.C.

2026

The Giants won't be signing Alex Bregman anytime soon—the ink just dried on his five-year, $170M deal with the Cubs. It may seem nutty to give a 31-year old that kind of scratch but it's actually reasonable. Figure he's a 3-WAR/yr. player and that's 15 WAR over the life of the contract or $11.3M/WAR. A little on the high side perhaps (my baseline is $10M/WAR) but certainly do-able. Projections suggest Bregman may be worth a little more than that. The consensus on FanGraphs was 5 years, $150M so he got a little more than expected although I understand a chunk of it is deferred for salary cap purposes.

Not that I wanted the Giants to sign Alex Bregman. Kyle Tucker on the other hand . . .

We know that's not going to happen. If they were going to give anyone five years and $150M I would like it to be Framber Valdez! After all, Dylan Cease got 7 years and $210M from the Blue Jays. Now THAT is a nutty contract. But Toronto is going "all-in" after just missing out last year and I can't blame them. 

The Giants? Well, they are tinkering around the edges. I don't think anyone is thrilled about beefing up the rotation with two journeymen, but that's the plan for 2026. The team is clearly counting on improvements from (1) the new manager and (2) some youngster(s). Bryce Eldridge? Carson Whisenhunt?

The 2026 Giants have talent. Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, Matt Chapman, and Logan Webb are all top-flight ballplayers. Jung Hoo Lee and Patrick Bailey are both on the cusp and it's not unreasonable to project improvements from both. And there's Heliot Ramos. It's a make-or-break year for him. I know Buster has publicly "called out" the young pitching corps and he expects someone to emerge as a legit hurler from that group. That would be great, of course. Blade Tidwell? Trevor McDonald? Our old pal Hayden Birdsong?

The Giants could fill their hole at second base by signing Bo Bichette. Sure, it would take a billion dollars, but they have plenty of money. Man, that would be some infield! But this outfit is too buttoned-down Wall Street for that sort of outlay. It's tough to compete with the more free-wheeling clubs like SD and LA but that's the way it goes.

Pitchers and catchers report in just about a month!

--M.C.

Another new pitcher

"Stockpile starters" is a winning strategy in my book and the Giants have made another step in that direction. It isn't sexy or flashy, but it's solid, and the Giants need lots of solid. 31-year old free agent righty Tyler Mahle is signing a one-year deal with the club, it seems. No word on dollars yet. You may remember him from his time with the Reds (2017-2022). He was last with the Rangers so perhaps Ol' Boch recommended him.

The Giants aren't going to sign Framber Valdez or Ranger Suarez or any of the front-line free agents. They are going to make some moves around the margins. They will exceed last year's payroll but be well under the tax threshold. I suspect the bean-counters are going to hold the line. We'll have to wait for Spring Training to see if any of the stocking-stuffers emerge as studs because we didn't get any big, shiny presents to open.

Happy New Year, everyone! And remember: "In Buster We Trust(er)."

--M.C.

New pitchers

The Giants signed veteran righty starter Adrian Houser for two years and $22M. He's a ground ball pitcher and had a strong showing last year after a poor season just before that. He's not the flashy ace-type we all covet but he'll add some experience. The Giants also signed righty reliever Jason Foley who is recovering from shoulder surgery. He'll be ready, it seems, by mid-season. Foley was a late inning type in Detroit and even had 28 saves in 2024.

Not very exciting stuff but I'm still going with "In Buster We Trust(er)" as my motto for 2026. 

--M.C.