Tuesday, November 11, 2025

MLB and the Faustian Bargain

"I'm shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!"

 

Major League Baseball knew they were playing with fire when they jumped into bed with gamblers. Now it has come back to bite them in the ass. Cleveland Guardians pitchers Emmanuel Clase and Luis Ortiz will be banned for life and will probably serve jail sentences because they rigged prop bets in games. The payoffs were chump change for a guy making millions (Clase signed a 4-yr, $20M deal in 2022). In Ortiz' case, he would be arb-eligible next year and was making $782K this year and was looking at potential millions down the road.

Gambling is stupid. But if people want to piss their money away then they will. So, the best thing to do is make gambling hard. Or at least inconvenient. There has to be something annoying or irritating about betting on sports (or anything else) because that will discourage some of the more destructive behaviors. I'm not opposed to legal gambling. I just think it should not be done on your fucking smartphone! Make people go to a casino, an OTB, a sportsbook, whatever. And for god's sake don't advertise the "apps" during the games!

In baseball what matters is what goes on between the lines. The Dodgers are going to outspend everyone. The Yankees will attract more talent than a smaller-market club. The financial structure of the game can be seen as "unfair." So what! If the games are legit, that is, the umpires call the balls-and-strikes without outside influence, then the advantages are smaller. A cheap, no-name club can still beat the big shots. That's all a fan really wants, to know that their plucky underdogs can win because everyone is playing by the same rules on the same "level" playing field.

The owners are a sad bunch. They have all the fucking money in the world and it's not enough. They have to monetize every goddamn thing they touch. The game is already awash with corporate billions, there was no need to get into the gambling business. It's ugly and it's stupid.

Anyway, that's my thoughts for the day.

--M.C.

 

 

p.s. the line is from Casablanca if you aren't familiar with the movie (policeman Paul Henreid shuts down Humphrey Bogart's nightclub for illegal gambling while having his own winnings handed to him)

Sunday, November 2, 2025

On to 2026

Although I am loath to discuss the Dodgers winning the World Series, I must say it was a compelling contest. You really couldn't ask for better baseball. It came down to one run in extra innings—you can't get much closer than that! I liked the way the Blue Jays put the ball in play and peppered the whole field with hits. That's fun to watch. LA was able to leverage their advantage in starting pitching and home run hitting to defend their title. They made some big plays in the field, too.

Anyway, on to 2026. I'm pasting some stuff from MLBTR below. It's all the important dates and deadlines until the new season. The Giants will host the Yankees to open the year.

 

NOVEMBER 2: Free agency begins for eligible players, but they aren’t permitted to sign with other teams for at least five days. Free agents no longer count against their previous teams’ 40-man rosters. Trades of players who were on the 40-man roster reopen for the first time since last summer’s deadline.

NOVEMBER 2: Gold Glove winners announced.

NOVEMBER 6: Free agents are eligible to sign with any team. All players or teams with contractual options/opt-out clauses must make their decisions by this evening. Teams have until 4:00 pm Central to decide whether to issue qualifying offers to eligible free agents.

NOVEMBER 6-7: Silver Slugger winners announced. The National League winners will be revealed on the 6th, while the American League honorees will be awarded on the 7th.

NOVEMBER 10-13: General managers meetings in Las Vegas, Nevada. The GM Meetings typically lay the groundwork for the offseason rather than spurring much roster movement in themselves. They’re nevertheless significant as an opportunity for media to speak with high-level executives, which can shed some light on teams’ goals for the winter.

NOVEMBER 10: Rookie of the Year award winners announced.

NOVEMBER 11: Manager of the Year award winners announced.

NOVEMBER 12: Cy Young award winners announced.

NOVEMBER 13: MVP award winners announced.

NOVEMBER 13: Reliever of the Year, Comeback Player of the Year and Hank Aaron award winners announced. All-MLB teams revealed.

NOVEMBER 18: Players have until 3:00 pm Central to decide whether to accept the qualifying offer. If they accept, they’ll return to their previous team on a one-year, $22.025MM contract. Players who accept a QO, like all major league free agent signees, cannot be traded without their consent until June 15. Those who decline the QO are tied to draft compensation. MLBTR’s Mark Polishuk recently covered what each team would receive for losing a qualified free agent and the penalties that teams would pay to sign a player who declined a QO.

NOVEMBER 18: Rule 5 protection deadline. Teams have until this date to add players who would otherwise be eligible for the Rule 5 draft to their 40-man roster to keep them out of the draft.

NOVEMBER 18-20: Quarterly owners meetings in New York. Commissioner Rob Manfred typically speaks with reporters at this time.

NOVEMBER 21: Non-tender deadline at 7:00pm Central. Teams must decide whether to offer contracts to the arbitration-eligible and pre-arbitration players on their 40-man roster. They do not need to agree to salaries by this date, but there’ll be a flurry of salary agreements as players who might otherwise be non-tender candidates often lock in deals at slightly lesser than projected salaries to avoid being cut loose. Players who are non-tendered immediately become free agents without going through waivers.

DECEMBER 7-10: Winter Meetings in Orlando, Florida. The Winter Meetings are the offseason’s busiest few days and annually feature ample free agent and trade activity.

DECEMBER 7: Hall of Fame Contemporary Baseball Era Players Committee announcement. Formerly known as the Veterans Committee, the 16-person panel votes on eight candidates who were not previously inducted into Cooperstown by the Baseball Writers Association of America. The eight candidates under consideration are usually announced in early November; those who receive at least 12 votes on December 7 are elected to the Hall of Fame. This year’s committee will consider only players whose greatest contributions came in the 1980s or later.

DECEMBER 9Amateur draft lottery. The White Sox have the best chance of securing the first overall pick at 27.8% (h/t to Baseball America). The Rockies, Nationals and Angels are not allowed to pick higher than 10th. The CBA prohibits teams from having lottery picks in three straight years, which rules out Colorado. Clubs that do not receive revenue sharing cannot pick in the lottery in consecutive seasons, ruling out Washington and Los Angeles.

DECEMBER 10: The Rule 5 draft will conclude the Winter Meetings. Players selected must stay on their new teams’ active rosters for the entire ’26 season or be offered back to their original organization.

DECEMBER 15: Closing of the 2025 signing period for international amateurs.

JANUARY 8: Teams and arbitration-eligible players exchange salary filing figures. They’re free to continue negotiating beyond this date, though virtually every team treats this as an unofficial deadline to avoid an arbitration hearing unless they sign a multi-year contract.

JANUARY 15: Opening of the 2026 signing period for international amateurs. The majority of the international signings for the year will be announced on this date, as virtually all the top prospects have reached handshake agreements by this point.

JANUARY 21: Baseball Writers’ Association of America Hall of Fame announcement at 5:00 pm Central.

EARLY FEBRUARY TBA: Arbitration hearings. Arbitrators must choose either the team’s or player’s filing figure, not a midpoint.

FEBRUARY 11: Voluntary report date to Spring Training for pitchers and catchers.

FEBRUARY 15: Voluntary report date to Spring Training for other players.

FEBRUARY 20: Mandatory report date. Spring Training play begins.

MARCH 25: Yankees @ Giants standalone game on Opening Night.

MARCH 26: Opening Day for the other 28 teams.

 

--M.C. 

(https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/the-2025-26-offseason-begins.html)