Sunday, January 16, 2011

Timothy L. Lincecum

Of all the Giants starters, The Freak may be the hardest to predict what 2011 will bring.
This last year was far from a failure for Timmeh, as his stellar postseason will attest,
but some undeniable chinks in the armor did show up. The projection pundits are kind to 
Tim, as you can see: 
ZiPS says:       213.3 IP, 172 H,  66 ER,  14 HR  71 BB, 246 K, 150 ERA+

Those are quite nice; not as good as the Cy Young years, but better than "ohten."  Seems 
rather crudely mathematical. My prediction is based on more of a projected career path, 
if you will. Without using the link, anyone recognize where I got my Tim projection?
 
W    L  ERA HR BB  SO ERA+  WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB       Awards
25   5 1.88 18 58 306  159 0.875 6.2  0.5  1.7  8.9  5.28      ASCYA-1MVP-1

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/16/2011.
Here's some of Tim's numbers.  Use them (or not) to make your Tim prediction.

Year             W  L  ERA   G    IP   H  ER HR  BB  SO ERA+  WHIP BB/9 SO/9

2007             7  5 4.00  24 146.1 122  65 12  65 150  112 1.278  4.0  9.2
2008            18  5 2.62  34 227.0 182  66 11  84 265  169 1.172  3.3 10.5
2009            15  7 2.48  32 225.1 168  62 10  68 261  173 1.047  2.7 10.4
2010            16 10 3.43  33 212.1 194  81 18  76 231  119 1.272  3.2  9.8
4 Seasons       56 27 3.04 123 811.0 666 274 51 293 907  142 1.182  3.3 10.1
162 Game Avg.   16  7 3.04  34   225 185  76 14  81 252  142 1.182  3.3 10.1
 
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original TableGenerated 1/15/2011.

3 comments:

M.C. O'Connor said...

Izzat Sandy Fecking Koufax yer comping wi' Timmeh?

M.C. O'Connor said...

Having fun with formatting yet?

M.C. O'Connor said...

Hope you don't mind--I did some editing on your post to clean up the spaces. The blogger text editor is not the greatest. I have to use the damn "preview" feature A LOT and then I have to edit again after posting.

I'll take the ZiPS Tim. Bill James says 2.79 FIP and 10.13 K/9. I'll take it. Health is the key. A healthy Timmy is a studly Timmy.