That puts them at 71-73 (.493) over 144 games or 8/9 of the season.
The homer-happy Giants pounded out a big 7-1 lead over the Padres this afternoon but almost let it get away before hanging on to win 7-6. Taylor Rogers and Camilo Doval were the late-inning relievers who gave up five runs but they got some help. Rookie infielders Tyler Fitzgerald and Marco Luciano collided on a routine pop-up to keep a rally going. That's what happens with rookies. Luciano is new to second base as well. Those two need to learn to communicate!
Matt Chapman, Jerar Encarnacion, Luis Matos, and Curt Casali all homered for the Giants.They got seven straight hits in the 4th off Joe Musgrove and scored six runs. Giants starter Spencer Bivens wasn't scored upon until the 5th, he left with one out and one run in. That was a big effort in an emergency-start situation.
Tomorrow is an off-day. They are then home for six games: three against the Brewers and three more against the Padres. The website hasn't listed a starter for Tuesday night (6:45 Pacific) but it lines up to be Hayden Birdsong.
Go Giants!
--M.C.
4 comments:
With the bases loaded and one out, after the count was two balls and no strikes, Encarnacion took 3 straight similar pitches all strikes. That was just unacceptable. Most, of the Padre hitters, not all though, changed their approach with 2 strikes, and fouled off a lot of tough pitches, and tried to place the ball. In Saturday's game Ramos hit the ball over 100 mph 4 times and had one hit. Yet Arraez did not hit the ball particulary hard, but hit against the defense, and had 3 hits. What I do not get is why Arraez is only worth 0.1 War. I know he does not walk a lot, but he is always a tough out and keeps the line moving with his hit skill. Seems to me he is worth a lot more than 0.1 WAR, and suggests the method of calculating WAR needs to be upgraded.
1.0 WAR not 0.1 (both FanGraphs and B-R).
But you're right, WAR does not like singles hitters.
WAR is based on linear weights. Every hit is assigned a run value, that is, the correlation between that event and run-scoring. The numbers are empirical--they look at thousands of games and average it all out using a "run expectancy" matrix. Homers are obviously worth more than one run because some homers have guys on base. So it is context-neutral, all doubles are worth the same regardless of the outcome.
WAR uses a "weighted" OBA that assigns a multiplier to each hit, something like .8 for singles, 1.3 for doubles, 1.6 for triples and 2.1 for HRs. That's how singles hitters get under-valued.
WAR is tossed around like a stat (I'm guilty of that!) but it really isn't a stat. It's more like a framework for evaluating a player's contributions. (Both B-R and FG have detailed pages explaining how they calculate WAR.)
Fielding is figured in too and SS and C and whatnot get a big bump compared to 1B, LF, DH. It is called "positional adjustment" and the saber-niks argue about it a lot.
Tom Tango is one of the developers of WAR. He wrote about it recently:
http://tangotiger.com/index.php/site/article/small-choices-big-implications-in-war
LINK
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